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Hurricane Jeanne apparently has made a decision as to where she's headed. And it's the east coast of florida. We have about 48 hours to finish preparations, about 36 hours from now Northeast Florida will be gin to feel the effects of Jeanne, weather will degrade rapidly after that.
More southern areas of Florida (in particular, the areas near where Frances made Landfall, and just to the north of that) could see effects beginning Saturday morning.
the forcast tract has the storm affecting (and travelling) along the entire florida east coast, northward. Currently there is a Hurricane Watch extending from florida city in the south north to St. Augustine. The watch areas will likely be extended at 5 pm, and some warnings may go up either at 5 or at 11pm tonight.
Attached is the 2 pm advisory
00
WTNT31 KNHC 241739
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 44A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004
...JEANNE MOVING WESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT FROM SUNDOWN TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDOWN SATURDAY IS
YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS
IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE
LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE
HURRICANE SITUATION.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST OR ABOUT 255
MILES... 415 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER
OF JEANNE NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF
JEANNE.
TIDES WILL GRADUALLY BE RISING IN THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL
BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...26.3 N... 72.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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| Hurricane Jeanne - Update 14:00 24SEP04 | Login/Create an account | 0 Comments |
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